The impact of religious exclusivism on outgroup attitudes

Religiously diverse societies are often portrayed as marked by tensions between exclusive worldviews and aspirations toward inclusive and cohesive social relations. These tensions are particularly salient in religious contexts, where deeply held convictions about truth and moral order may coexist uneasily with ideals of tolerance and mutual recognition. A central question emerging from this dilemma is how religious worldviews shape evaluations of religious others in increasingly diverse societies. Using cross-sectional survey data among religious Christians and Muslims in the Netherlands, we analyse associations between religious exclusivism, religious and national belonging, bonding and bridging social capital, and outgroup attitudes, combining bivariate correlations, multivariate regression, and regression-based serial mediation analyses. Results show that religious exclusivism is a robust independent predictor of colder outgroup evaluations. In contrast, religious belonging and both bonding and bridging social capital are associated with warmer outgroup evaluations: bonding shows the stronger association. Mediation analyses indicate that religious exclusivism is indirectly associated with warmer outgroup evaluations through religious belonging, whereas bonding social capital does not mediate exclusivism in the direction of outgroup negativity. The findings challenge the view of bonding as primarily closing and suggest that supportive in-group embeddedness can coincide with more positive evaluations of religious others.